Analysis of the Increase in Covid-19 Patients in Maluku Province Using Markov Chain Method

Umi Sari Rumata; Yopi Andry Lesnussa; Marlon Stivo Noya van Delzen

doi:10.30598/pijmathvol1iss1pp27-32

Umi Sari Rumata Pattimura University
Yopi Andry Lesnussa Pattimura University https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8729-3437
Marlon Stivo Noya van Delzen Pattimura University

DOI: https://doi.org/10.30598/pijmathvol1iss1pp27-32

Keywords: Markov Chain Method, COVID-19 patient

Abstract

Since the beginning of 2020, most of the world has been hit by the covid-19 pandemic, patients who are confirmed to be covid-19 are increasing day by day until the end of 2020, this increase in covid-19 patients has also occurred in the province of Maluku. In this study using the Markov chain method to analyze the increase in COVID-19 patients in the Maluku province, the results of the study were obtained that there were 5 ranges of adding positive COVID-19 patients with the opportunity value of increasing in each range as follows In the range of 0-20 people, the opportunity value is 0.103, the range of 21-40 people, is the opportunity value 0.098, the range 41-60 people is the opportunity value is 0.093, the range 61-80 people is the opportunity value is 0.1, the range of more than 81 people the opportunity value is 0.74.

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