THE EFFECT OF LONG-LASTING INSECTICIDAL NETS ON THE DYNAMICS OF MALARIA SPREAD IN INDONESIA
Abstract
Malaria is an infectious disease that can lead to death. Deaths from malaria globally have increased in 2020. So the spread of this disease is still a serious problem for society. The mathematical model used is the SIR-SI model, assuming that recovered individuals can be re-infected with malaria. Analysis was carried out on the effectiveness parameters of long-lasting insecticidal nets to determine their effect on the dynamics of the spread of malaria. The sensitivity analysis results showed that changes in the parameters of the effectiveness of long-lasting insecticidal nets had an inverse effect on the rate of spread of malaria. These results follow numerical simulations conducted using malaria case data in Indonesia (some assumptions). Thus, efforts can be made to suppress the spread of malaria by increasing the effectiveness of long-lasting insecticidal nets.
Downloads
References
A. Sabiq and J. Fitriany, “Malaria,” J. Averrous, vol. 4, no. 2, pp. 1–20, 2018, doi: 10.29103/averrous.v4i2.1039.
N. Hamidah, Fatmawati, and U. D. Purwati, “Analisis model matematika penyebaran koinfeksi malaria-tifus,” Surabaya: Universitas Airlangga, 2017, pp. 87–96.
J. S. Sihite, L. Desi, F. A. Sihombing, S. J. Zebua, and S. Zai, “Pemanfaatan kelambu sebagai upaya pencegahan malaria pada ibu hamil tahun 2021,” Inst. Comput. Sci., vol. 4, no. 2, pp. 179–188, 2021.
World Health Organization, World Malaria Report 2021. Geneva: World Health Organization, 2021.
E. Aprianti, Jaharuddin, and E. H. Nugrahani, “The effect of susceptible immigrants in a system dynamic on the spread of malaria in Indonesia,” JTAM, vol. 6, no. 3, pp. 777–788, 2022, doi: https://doi.org/10.31764/jtam.v6i3.8630.
N. Rahayu, S. Sulasmi, and Y. Suryatinah, “Efektivitas Aplikasi Kelambu Berinsektisida (Long Lasting Insecticides Net) dalam Program Pengendalian Vektor Daerah Endemis Malaria di Kalimantan Selatan,” Balai Litbang P2B2 Tanah Bumbu, Kalimantan Selatan, 2016.
A. T. Saputra and Rizky, “Waspada! bahaya nyamuk Anopheles,” Provinsi Kepulauan Bangka Belitung, 2014. https://serumpun.babelprov.go.id/waspada-bahaya-nyamuk-anopheles (accessed Sep. 05, 2022).
F. H. Harsono, “Waspada serangan malaria yang timbulkan kekambuhan,” liputan6.com, 2019. https://www.liputan6.com/health/read/3952046/waspada-serangan-malaria-yang-timbulkan-kekambuhan (accessed Nov. 27, 2022).
S. H. Strogatz, Nonlinear dynamics and chaos: with applications to physics, biology, chemistry, and engineering, 2nd ed. Boulder, CO: Westview Pr, 2015.
J. Giesecke, Modern infectious disease epidemiology, 3rd ed. Boca Raton, FL: CRC Pr, 2017.
P. van den Driessche and J. Watmough, “Reproduction numbers and sub-threshold endemic equilibria for compartmental models of disease transmission,” Math. Biosci., vol. 180, no. 1–2, pp. 29–48, Nov. 2002, doi: 10.1016/S0025-5564(02)00108-6.
C. Castillo-Chavez and B. Song, “Dynamical models of tuberculosis and their applications,” Math. Biosci. Eng., vol. 1, no. 2, pp. 361–404, 2004, doi: 10.3934/mbe.2004.1.361.
N. Chitnis, J. M. Hyman, and J. M. Cushing, “Determining Important Parameters in the Spread of Malaria Through the Sensitivity Analysis of a Mathematical Model,” Bull. Math. Biol., vol. 70, no. 5, pp. 1272–1296, Jul. 2008, doi: 10.1007/s11538-008-9299-0.
Badan Pusat Statistik, Profil Migran Hasil Survei Sosial Ekonomi Nasional 2019. Jakarta: Badan Pusat Statistik, 2020.
A. G. Wedajo, B. K. Bole, and P. R. Koya, “The impact of susceptible human immigrants on the spread and dynamics of malaria transmission,” Am. J. Appl. Math., vol. 6, no. 3, pp. 117–127, 2018, doi: 10.11648/j.ajam.20180603.13.
World Bank, “Indonesia | Data,” World Bank, 2019. https://data.worldbank.org/country/indonesia (accessed Nov. 28, 2022).
M. H. Simanjuntak, “BRIN: Perlu uji klinis vaksin RTS,S ketahui efektivitas di Indonesia,” Antara News, 2021. https://www.antaranews.com/berita/2458569/brin-perlu-uji-klinis-vaksin-rtss-ketahui-efektivitas-di-indonesia (accessed Nov. 28, 2022).
KEMENKES RI, “Laporan Nasional RISKESDAS 2018,” KEMENKES RI, Jakarta, 2018.
KEMENKES RI, “Rencana Aksi Kegiatan (RAK) 2020-2024,” KEMENKES RI, Jakarta, 2020.
R. Nurmaliani, R. Oktarina, M. Arisanti, and D. Asyati, “Daya Bunuh Kelambu Berinsektisida Long Lasting Insecticidal Nets (LLINS) terhadap Nyamuk Anopheles maculatus,” ASPIRATOR - J. Vector-Borne Dis. Stud., vol. 8, no. 1, p. 8, 2016, doi: 10.22435/aspirator.v8i1.3931.1-8.
Copyright (c) 2023 Euis Aprianti, Jaharuddin Jaharuddin
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.
Authors who publish with this Journal agree to the following terms:
- Author retain copyright and grant the journal right of first publication with the work simultaneously licensed under a creative commons attribution license that allow others to share the work within an acknowledgement of the work’s authorship and initial publication of this journal.
- Authors are able to enter into separate, additional contractual arrangement for the non-exclusive distribution of the journal’s published version of the work (e.g. acknowledgement of its initial publication in this journal).
- Authors are permitted and encouraged to post their work online (e.g. in institutional repositories or on their websites) prior to and during the submission process, as it can lead to productive exchanges, as well as earlier and greater citation of published works.
1.gif)
