RETROSPECTIVE ANALYSIS IN HYPOTHESIS TESTING TO EVALUATE INDONESIA'S GINI RATIO AFTER COVID-19 PANDEMIC

  • Karunia Eka Lestari Department of Mathematics Education, Faculty of Teacher Training and Education, Universitas Singaperbangsa Karawang, Indonesia https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1555-5933
  • Fitriani Agustina Department of Mathematics Education, Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences Education, Universitas Pendidikan Indonesia, Indonesia https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5844-0074
  • Mokhammad Ridwan Yudhanegara Department of Mathematics Education, Faculty of Teacher Training and Education, Universitas Singaperbangsa Karawang, Indonesia https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7316-3359
  • Edwin Setiawan Nugraha Department of Actuarial Science, Faculty of Business, President University, Indonesia https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3043-0031
  • Sisilia Sylviani Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Science, Universitas Padjajaran, Indonesia https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7480-7742
Keywords: Gini Ratio, Hypothesis Testing, Statistical Power, Retrospective Analysis

Abstract

The study highlighted three essential roles of retrospective analysis in hypothesis testing, particularly as a priori analysis, post hoc analysis, and sensitivity analysis. These approaches were applied to the Gini ratio data sourced from the National Socioeconomic Survey Indonesia 2023 to examine the income inequality level in Indonesia. The sample size, statistical power, and effect size for the one-sample t-test are evaluated by aid G*Power software. The test results show that for a sample size of 10, at the 95% confidence interval, there is not enough evidence to show that the Gini ratio in 2023 is smaller than 0.4. A retrospective analysis using G*power software reveals that for a sample size of 20 at the same confidence interval, there is enough evidence to suggest that the Gini ratio is statistically significant at less than 0.4 with a power of analysis of 90.8% and an effect size of 0.76. This study has important implications in hypothesis testing, especially in retrospective analysis, since understanding the effect of sample size and effect size makes it possible for academics or practitioners to optimize hypothesis testing and generate more accurate and reliable test results.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

R. E. Walpole, R. H. Myers, S. L. Myers, and K. Ye, Probability & Statistics for Engineers & Scientists. Boston: Pearson, 2016.

K. Andrew and R. Eckersley, Statistics for biomedical engineers and scientists: How to visualize and analyze data. London: Academic Press, 2019.

G. V Glass and K. D. Hopkins, Statistical Methods in Education and Psycology, 3rd ed. Boston: Pearson Education, 1996.

S. A. Lesik, Applied statistical inference with MINITAB®. Boca Raton: CRC Press, 2019.

J. Cohen, Statistical Power Analysis for the Behavioral Sciences, 2nd ed. New York: Lauwrence Erlbaum Associates, 2013. doi: 10.4324/9780203771587.

N. R. Chayyani, Ketimpangan Pendapatan dan Pemulihan Ekonomi Nasional. Jakarta: The Indonesian Institute Center of Public Policy Research, 2021. [Online]. Available: https://www.theindonesianinstitute.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/11/Ketimpangan-Pendapatan-dan-PEN-Nuri.pdf

K. Mdingi and S. Ho, “Literature review on income inequality and economic growth,” MethodsX, vol. 8, no. May, p. 101402, 2021, doi: 10.1016/j.mex.2021.101402.

M. C. Wendl, “Pseudonymous fame,” Science (80-. )., vol. 351, no. 6280, p. 1406, 2016.

A. Li and H. Qin, “Some transformation properties of the incomplete beta function and its partial derivatives,” IAENG Int. J. Appl. Math., vol. 49, no. 1, pp. 1–14, 2019.

D. A. Fitts, “Expected and empirical coverages of different methods for generating noncentral t confidence intervals for a standardized mean difference,” Behav. Res. Methods, vol. 53, no. 6, pp. 2412–2429, 2021, doi: 10.3758/s13428-021-01550-4.

D. A. Harrison and A. R. Brady, “Sample size and power calculations using the noncentral t-distribution,” Stata J. Promot. Commun. Stat. Stata, vol. 4, no. 2, pp. 142–153, 2004, doi: 10.1177/1536867x0400400205.

P. M. B. Cahusac and S. E. Mansour, “Estimating sample sizes for evidential t tests,” Res. Math., vol. 9, no. 1, pp. 1–12, 2022, doi: 10.1080/27684830.2022.2089373.

W. H. Lo and S. H. Chen, “The analytical estimator for sparse data,” IAENG Int. J. Appl. Math., vol. 39, no. 1, pp. 1–8, 2009.

F. Faul, E. Erdfelder, A. Buchner, and A. G. Lang, “G* Power 3: A flexible statistical power analysis program for the social, behavioral, and biomedical sciences.,” Behav. Res. Methods, vol. 39, no. 2, pp. 175–191, 2007.

H. Kang, “Sample size determination and power analysis using the G*Power software,” J. Educ. Eval. Health Prof., vol. 18, no. 17, pp. 1–12, 2021, doi: 10.3352/JEEHP.2021.18.17.

T. Sitthiyot and K. Holasut, “A simple method for measuring inequality,” Palgrave Commun., vol. 6, no. 112, pp. 1–9, 2020, doi: 10.1057/s41599-020-0484-6.

F. A. Farris, “The gini index and measures of inequality,” Am. Math. Mon., vol. 117, no. 10, pp. 851–864, 2010, doi: 10.4169/000298910X523344.

B. D. Jakarta, Profil Kemiskinan Provinsi DKI Jakarta Tahun 2020. BPS Provinsi DKI Jakarta, 2020.

Y. Liu and J. L. Gastwirth, “On the capacity of the Gini index to represent income distributions,” Metron, vol. 78, no. 1, pp. 61–69, 2020, doi: 10.1007/s40300-020-00164-8.

I. Drudi and G. Tassinari, “The Turn of the Screw . Changes in income distribution in Italy (2002-2010),” Stat. Appl., vol. 12, no. 2, pp. 123–137, 2014.

M. O. Lorenz, “Methods of measuring the concentration of wealth,” Am. Stat. Assoc., vol. 9, no. 70, pp. 209–219, 1905.

P. K. Sen, “The gini coefficient and poverty indexes: Some reconciliations,” J. Am. Stat. Assoc., vol. 81, no. 396, pp. 1050–1057, 1986, doi: 10.1080/01621459.1986.10478372.

A. Halimatussadiah, A. A. Widyasanti, A. Damayanti, K. Verico, R. M. Qibthiyyah, R. Kurniawan, J. F. Rezki, F. Rahardi, N. K. Sholihah, and S. Budiantoro, Thinking Ahead: Indonesia’ s Agenda on Sustainable Recovery from COVID -19 Pandemic. Jakarta: Institute for Economic and Social Research Faculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Indonesia (LPEM FEB UI) and Ministry of National Development Planning/ National Development Planning Agency (BAPPENAS), 2020, p. 125.

BPS Statistics Indonesia, Tingkat Ketimpangan Pengeluaran Penduduk Indonesia Maret 2023. BPS Statistics Indonesia, 2023.

H. H. S. Kyaw, S. S. Wint, N. Funabiki, and W. C. Kao, “A code completion problem in java programming learning assistant system,” IAENG Int. J. Comput. Sci., vol. 47, no. 3, pp. 350–359, 2020.

J. C. F. de Winter, “Using the student’s t-test with extremely small sample sizes,” Pract. Assessment, Res. Eval., vol. 18, no. 10, pp. 1–12, 2013.

Published
2024-10-11
How to Cite
[1]
K. Lestari, F. Agustina, M. Yudhanegara, E. Nugraha, and S. Sylviani, “RETROSPECTIVE ANALYSIS IN HYPOTHESIS TESTING TO EVALUATE INDONESIA’S GINI RATIO AFTER COVID-19 PANDEMIC”, BAREKENG: J. Math. & App., vol. 18, no. 4, pp. 2517-2530, Oct. 2024.