METODE EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING EVENT BASED (ESEB) DAN METODE WINTER’S EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING (WES) UNTUK PERAMALAN JUMLAH PENUMPANG TIBA DI PELABUHAN PENYEBERANGAN GORONTALO

  • Muhammad Rezky Friesta Payu Universitas Negeri Gorontalo
  • N. Nurwan Jurusan Matematika Fakultas Matematika dan Ilmu Pengetahuan Alam, Universitas Negeri Gorontalo
DOI: https://doi.org/10.30598/barekengvol13iss3pp197-202ar935
Keywords: Arriving passengers, special event, exponential smoothing event based, winter’s exponential smoothing, MAPE

Abstract

Forecasting the number of passengers can be a consideration for managers of Gorontalo Crossing Port regarding the provision of tickets. The number of passengers can be influenced by certain seasonal or special events. To see the special events that affect the number of passengers arriving at Gorontalo Crossing Port, the forecasting method used is the Exponential Smoothing Event Based (ESEB) method. The seasonal influences can be known through historical data patterns and using the Winter’s Exponential Smoothing (WES) method. After compared, the ESEB method is a better method of forecasting the number of arriving passengers at Gorontalo Crossing Port because it has a smaller MAPE value than the WES method.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.
Published
2019-10-01
How to Cite
[1]
M. Payu and N. Nurwan, “METODE EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING EVENT BASED (ESEB) DAN METODE WINTER’S EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING (WES) UNTUK PERAMALAN JUMLAH PENUMPANG TIBA DI PELABUHAN PENYEBERANGAN GORONTALO”, BAREKENG: J. Math. & App., vol. 13, no. 3, pp. 199-204, Oct. 2019.
Issue
Vol 13 No 3 (2019): BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan
Section
Articles

Authors who publish with this Journal agree to the following terms:

  1. Author retain copyright and grant the journal right of first publication with the work simultaneously licensed under a creative commons attribution license that allow others to share the work within an acknowledgement of the work’s authorship and initial publication of this journal.
  2. Authors are able to enter into separate, additional contractual arrangement for the non-exclusive distribution of the journal’s published version of the work (e.g. acknowledgement of its initial publication in this journal).
  3. Authors are permitted and encouraged to post their work online (e.g. in institutional repositories or on their websites) prior to and during the submission process, as it can lead to productive exchanges, as well as earlier and greater citation of published works.